ABSTRACT

TERMEDTHEMAINTENANCECOSTAPPROACHHASBEENUSEDINTHEIMPLEMENTATIONOFTHE 3%%!SINCETHEVERSIONWASPUBLISHED)TESTIMATESTHETOTALCOSTOFPREVENTING HARMTOTHEENVIRONMENTBYSUMMINGTHECOSTSIMPOSEDONINDIVIDUALlRMS4HE OTHERBASEDONMODELINGTHEMACROECONOMICEFFECTSOFCHANGESINENVIRONMENTAL POLICYINCORPORATESAMORECOMPLEXUNDERSTANDINGOFTHEIMPACTOFENVIRONMEN TALPROTECTIONONTHEECONOMYBUTGOESBEYONDTHESTANDARDIZEDDATATHATCANBE PRESENTEDINASETOFACCOUNTS3UCHMODELINGHASBEENIMPLEMENTEDINANUMBER OFCOUNTRIES 4HEREVISED3%%!HASELIMINATEDTHETERMhMAINTENANCECOSTvANDUSESDIFFER

ENTTERMINOLOGYTOCAPTURETHESEISSUES)TUSEShABATEMENTCOSTvTOREFERTOWHAT WASPREVIOUSLYCALLEDMAINTENANCECOSTˆEXPENDITURESACTUALLYMADETOREDUCE POLLUTIONˆANDhGREENECONOMYMODELINGvTOREFERTOANALYSISOFHOWIMPLEMENTA TIONOFENVIRONMENTALPOLICYAFFECTSTHEECONOMYASAWHOLE"ECAUSEMAINTENANCE

WITHABATEMENTCOSTTHROUGHOUTTHISCHAPTER

4HE3%%!DElNESMAINTENANCECOSTASTHEAMOUNTWEWOULDHAVETOSPENDTO ENSURETHATTHEQUALITYOFTHEENVIRONMENTATTHEENDOFATIMEPERIODISTHESAME ASITWASATTHESTART#ONCEPTUALLYTHISISAMEASUREOFTHECOSTOFUSINGTHEENVI RONMENTSUSTAINABLY)NTHEORYITSHOULDINCLUDETHREEITEMS

N THECOSTOFKEEPINGPOLLUTIONTOALEVELTHATENSURESTHATTHEhSTOCKvOFRESIDUALS THATHAVEACCUMULATEDINTHEENVIRONMENTDOESNOTINCREASESOMEOFTHEPOL LUTIONALREADYINTHEENVIRONMENTCOULDDISSIPATEOVERTHEYEARSOTHISDOESNOT NECESSARILYMEANREDUCINGTHISYEARSmOWTOZERO

N INVESTMENTINTHEPRESENTREQUIREDTOPREVENTHARMINTHEFUTUREFROMSTOCKSOF RESIDUALSDEPOSITEDINTHEENVIRONMENTINTHEPASTSUCHASBURIEDTOXINSTHAT COULDCONTAMINATEGROUNDWATERIFUNTREATEDAND

N THECOSTOFRESTRICTINGTHEUSEOFRENEWABLENATURALRESOURCESTOTHELEVELATWHICH THEYWILLBEREPLACEDNATURALLY

)NPRACTICEITWOULDBEDIFlCULTTOKNOWWHATTHESEABATEMENTCOSTSWOULDREALLY BE)TWOULDREQUIREALEVELOFSCIENTIlCKNOWLEDGEABOUTCURRENTENVIRONMENTAL QUALITYANDPROCESSESTHATWEDONOTUSUALLYHAVEATOURDISPOSALWHENBUILDING ENVIRONMENTALACCOUNTS#ONSEQUENTLYCOUNTRIESHAVETYPICALLYESTIMATEDMAIN TENANCECOSTBASEDONHOWMUCHITWOULDCOSTTOREDUCEPOLLUTIONEITHERTOZEROOR TOSOMESTANDARDCONSIDEREDTOBEWITHINTHECARRYINGCAPACITYOFTHEENVIRONMENT 5SUALLYTHEYDONOTINCLUDETHEINCREASEDHARMTHATMIGHTBECAUSEDBYSTOCKSOF POLLUTANTALREADYINTHEENVIRONMENTBECAUSETHISISTOODIFlCULTTOMEASURE4HE COSTOFFURTHERPOLLUTIONREDUCTIONISESTIMATEDFOREACHINDUSTRYBASEDONKNOWL EDGEOFTHETECHNOLOGYTHATWOULDBEREQUIRED4HOSEVALUESARETHENSUMMEDTO ARRIVEATACOSTFORTHEECONOMYASAWHOLE -AINTENANCECOSTHASBEENESTIMATEDBYANUMBEROFCOUNTRIESTESTINGTHE

3%%!&OREXAMPLETHE+OREA%NVIRONMENT)NSTITUTECARRIEDOUTAQUITECOMPLETE IMPLEMENTATIONOFMUCHOFTHE3%%!+IM 4HEINSTITUTESRESEARCHERSCON SIDEREDMOBILEANDSTATIONARYSOURCEAIRPOLLUTIONSEWAGEDISCHARGEBYHOUSE HOLDSANDINDUSTRYANDSOLIDWASTEDISPOSEDOFIMPROPERLYONLAND&OREACHTYPE OFRESIDUALTHEYANALYZEDHOWMUCHISNOWBEINGDISCHARGEDANNUALLY 4HEYUSEDAVARIETYOFMETHODSTOESTIMATETHECOSTSOFABATINGTHOSEEMIS

SIONS&ORAIRPOLLUTIONTHECOSTESTIMATESWEREBASEDONTHETECHNOLOGIESTHATTHEY ASSUMEDWOULDBEUSED3OMEOFTHESETECHNOLOGIESWERENOTYETINUSEIN+OREA WHENTHESTUDYWASCARRIEDOUTBUTTHEYAREWILLINGTOCOUNTONSOMENEWTECH NOLOGYINPROJECTINGCOSTS/NTHEASSUMPTIONTHATINDUSTRYBEGINSWITHTHELEAST COSTTECHNOLOGIESFUTUREPOLLUTIONREDUCTIONSWILLHAVEHIGHERUNITCOSTSTHANTHE METHODSNOWINUSE )NTHECASEOFSEWAGETREATMENTONTHEOTHERHANDTHEYCALCULATEDTHECOSTPER

UNITOFWASTEFORATYPICALACTIVATEDSLUDGETREATMENTPLANTANDMULTIPLIEDTHISBYTHE TOTALAMOUNTOFWASTEDISCHARGED"ECAUSEACTIVATEDSLUDGEISNOTTHEMOSTSOPHIS TICATEDTECHNOLOGYAVAILABLETHEYWEREAWARETHATTHISWASALOWERBOUNDONCOSTS

ANDTREATMENTQUALITY4HUSINTHISCASETHEYINCLUDEDONLYTHELOWER COSTINITIALPOL LUTIONREDUCTIONSWHEREASINTHECASEOFAIRPOLLUTIONTHEYWENTWITHHIGHERTECH NOLOGYANDCOSTS3IMILARLYTHEYUSEDTHEAVERAGECOSTSOFOPERATINGEXISTINGLANDlLLS TOESTIMATETHECOSTSOFHANDLINGSOLIDWASTETHATWASNOTPROPERLYLANDlLLED 4HEDIFFERENCESBETWEENTHE+OREANTREATMENTOFAIREMISSIONSANDTHEIRCOST

ESTIMATESFOROTHERWASTESILLUSTRATEAQUESTIONTHATOFTENCOMESUPWHENESTIMAT INGMAINTENANCECOSTS4HEREADILYAVAILABLEDATAWITHWHICHTOESTIMATECOSTSTYPI CALLYPERTAINTOTHEPOLLUTIONPREVENTIONTHATISALREADYINPLACEINTHECOUNTRY4HE QUESTIONISWHETHERTHEAVERAGECOSTOFEXISTINGTREATMENTCANBEUSEDTOESTIMATE THECOSTOFADDITIONALTREATMENT4HEANSWERISTHATITDEPENDS 4YPICALLYTHEMARGINALCOSTOFPOLLUTIONPREVENTIONINCREASESASMOREPOLLUTIONIS

REMOVEDFROMAGIVENSOURCE4HATISFORAGIVENFACTORYWASTETREATMENTPLANTOR OTHERPOLLUTINGFACILITYANINEXPENSIVETECHNOLOGYWOULDREMOVESOMEOFTHEPOL LUTIONBUTREMOVINGTHERESTOFTHEPOLLUTIONREQUIRESMUCHMOREEXPENSIVETECH NOLOGY4ABLE ILLUSTRATESTHISSITUATIONFORAHYPOTHETICALTREATMENTPLANTTHAT EMITSUNITSOFPOLLUTION$ISCHARGINGALLOFTHEPOLLUTIONOBVIOUSLYCOSTSNOTHING THATWOULDBETHENO TREATMENTOPTION 2EDUCINGPOLLUTIONFROMTOCOSTS PERUNITFORATOTALCOSTOF&URTHERREDUCINGITTOUNITSUSESAMOREEXPEN SIVETECHNOLOGYTHATCOSTSPERUNITFORATOTALCOSTOFANDANAVERAGECOSTOF !STHETABLESHOWSINTHISEXAMPLETHECOSTRISESSHARPLYTOREMOVETHELAST OFTHEPOLLUTIONANDWASTEWATERMANAGERSMIGHTDECIDETHATPUTTINGUPWITH THATPOLLUTIONALLOWSBETTERUSEOFTHOSERESOURCESTHANPREVENTINGALLOFIT 3UPPOSETHECOUNTRYHASTREATMENTPLANTSINTHREECITIESEACHREMOVINGOF

THEPOLLUTIONBUTTHERESTOFTHECOUNTRYHASNOTREATMENTATALL4HENAPPLYINGTHE AVERAGECOSTOFCURRENTTREATMENTPERUNITTOESTIMATETHECOSTSOFPREVENT INGTHEREMAININGPOLLUTIONINTHECITIESWITHNOTREATMENTISREASONABLEBECAUSE EXISTINGTECHNOLOGYWILLSIMPLYBEAPPLIEDINOTHERCITIES/NTHEOTHERHANDSUP POSETHECOUNTRYHASAPLANTINEVERYCITYANDTOWNBUTEACHPLANTREMOVESONLY OFTHEPOLLUTION)NTHATCASEAPPLYINGTHEAVERAGECOSTOFTOTHEREMAINING POLLUTIONWILLBEINCORRECTASMOREEXPENSIVETECHNOLOGYWILLBENEEDEDINEVERY CITYTOREMOVEADDITIONALPOLLUTION4HEDATAINTHE+OREANEXAMPLESUGGESTTHAT THELATTERCASEAPPLIESTOAIRPOLLUTIONBUTTHEFORMERAPPLIESTOSOLIDWASTE 4AIWANESTIMATEDTHECOSTSOFPREVENTINGFURTHERPOLLUTIONFOLLOWINGMETHODS

SIMILARTOTHOSEOF+OREAALTHOUGHITSANALYSISISSOMEWHATSIMPLER$'"!3 4HISANALYSISALSOCONSIDEREDAIRPOLLUTIONWASTEWATERTREATMENTANDSOLIDWASTE ANDUSEDAVERAGECOSTFORIN PLACEPOLLUTIONPREVENTIONTOESTIMATETHECOSTSOFFUR THERREDUCINGRESIDUALS)TISNOTCLEARFROMTHEDATAWHETHERAVERAGECOSTISINFACT ANAPPROPRIATEWAYTOESTIMATETHECOSTSOFFURTHERPOLLUTIONPREVENTIONINTHISCASE

-ARGINALAND!VERAGE

#OST%XAMPLE

ENTITEMSINTHE3%%!INITSCOSTESTIMATION3KANBERGAND!HLROTH 7HEREAS+OREAAND4AIWANCONSIDEREDONLYTHECOSTSOFFURTHERPOLLUTIONREDUC TIONS3WEDENESTIMATEDSEVERALDIFFERENTVALUESRELATEDTOEMISSIONSOFSULFURAND NITROGEN

N MONETARYEXPENDITURESRELATEDTOSUCHEMISSIONSINCLUDINGPOLLUTIONPREVEN TIONEXPENDITURESBYTHEPUBLICSECTORANDHOUSEHOLDSBUTNOTBYINDUSTRY BECAUSEOFDATALIMITATIONS HEALTHCOSTSIMPOSEDBYTHEPOLLUTIONCORROSION ASARESULTOFTHEEMISSIONSANDCOSTSOFMITIGATINGTHEEFFECTSOFTHEPOLLUTANTS ONFORESTSAGRICULTURALLANDANDFRESHWATERAMIXOFPREVENTIVEANDDEFENSIVE EXPENDITURESANDCOSTSIMPOSEDBYPOLLUTION

N ESTIMATESOFTHEIMPACTOFTHESEEMISSIONSONTHEVALUEOFNATURALASSETSAFFECTED BYTHEM

N ESTIMATESOFTHECOSTSTHATWOULDBEREQUIREDTOACHIEVENATIONALEMISSIONSTAR GETSFORTHETWOPOLLUTANTSINSOFARASMEASURESTAKENWITHINTHECOUNTRYWILL HAVEASIGNIlCANTIMPACT

N PUBLICWILLINGNESSTOPAYTOAVOIDTHEPROBLEMSRESULTINGFROMTHESEEMISSIONS AND

N DOSEnRESPONSEASSESSMENTOFTHEECONOMICIMPACTSOFTHEPOLLUTIONONOUTPUT OFFORESTSlSHERIESCROPSANDHEALTH

5NFORTUNATELYTHE3WEDISHDATAANDANALYSESARENOTCOMPLETEENOUGHTOPER MITARIGOROUSCOMPARISONOFEXPENDITURESTODATEORTHECOSTSOFADDITIONALPOLLU TIONPREVENTIONONTHEONEHANDWITHTHECOSTSIMPOSEDBYPOLLUTIONORWILLING NESSTOPAYTOPREVENTITONTHEOTHER"ASEDONWHATTHEANALYSISCOVERSHOWEVER THECOSTSAREWELLUNDEROFNETNATIONALPRODUCTCONSIDERABLYLOWERTHANTHE PORTRAYALOFTHEDAMAGESFROMACIDIlCATIONANDOVERFERTILIZATIONIN3WEDISH%NVI RONMENTAL0ROTECTION!GENCYREPORTS!DDITIONALWORKWOULDBENEEDEDTOASSESS THISFURTHER !SIMPLEMENTEDMAINTENANCECOSTISRELATIVELYEASYTOESTIMATE4HISAPPROACH

POSESASIGNIFICANTTECHNICALPROBLEMHOWEVER)NPRINCIPLEMAINTENANCECOST SHOWSTHECOSTTOTHEECONOMYOFACHIEVINGANACCEPTABLELEVELOFPOLLUTIONOR MAINTAININGADESIREDLEVELOFENVIRONMENTALQUALITY"UTIFINFACTTHECOUNTRY IMPLEMENTEDALLOFTHETECHNOLOGIESONWHICHTHEMAINTENANCECOSTESTIMATESARE BASEDPRICESFOROUTPUTOFTHEPOLLUTINGINDUSTRIESWOULDRISEANDDEMANDWOULD DROP-OREOVERPRICESWOULDNOTRISEUNIFORMLYPOLLUTIONREDUCTIONWOULDBE MOREEXPENSIVEINSOMEINDUSTRIESTHANINOTHERSANDTHEIRPRICESWOULDRISEMORE 4HECHANGESINRELATIVEPRICESWOULDCAUSEDEMANDTOSHIFTTOWARDTHEINDUSTRIES WITHLOWERPOLLUTIONPREVENTIONCOSTSALLELSEBEINGEQUAL4HISINTURNWOULDCAUSE STRUCTURALSHIFTSINTHEECONOMYASAWHOLEASINDUSTRIESWITHLOWPOLLUTIONPRE VENTIONCOSTSEXPANDEDRELATIVETOTHOSEWITHHIGHERONES!FTERTHISADJUSTMENT THENETECONOMICIMPACTOFTHEENVIRONMENTALREGULATIONSWOULDBELESSTHANWHAT WASESTIMATEDBASEDONMAINTENANCECOSTASDEMANDWOULDSKEWTOWARDTHELOW COSTINDUSTRIESANDTHEOVERALLSTRUCTUREOFTHEECONOMYWOULDCHANGE)NADDI TIONTHEINCREASEDDEMANDFORENVIRONMENTALPROTECTIONEQUIPMENTMIGHTENABLE THATINDUSTRYTOACHIEVEECONOMIESOFSCALETHATFURTHERREDUCEDTHECOSTSOFIMPLE MENTINGSTRINGENTPOLLUTIONCONTROLS

POLLUTIONITWILLFOLLOWAPROCEDUREMUCHLIKETHEMAINTENANCECOSTAPPROACH)T WILLCONSIDERTHETECHNOLOGYNEEDEDTOREDUCEEMISSIONSBOTHCAPITALANDOPERAT INGCOSTSANDDETERMINEHOWMUCHITWILLHAVETORAISEITSPRICESORCUTINTOPROF ITS TOCOVERTHECOSTS)TMAYlNDTHATTHECOSTSARENOTAFFORDABLE)NDEEDWHEN FACEDWITHPROPOSEDNEWENVIRONMENTALPOLICIESMANYlRMSlNDTHATTHECOSTS OFIMPLEMENTINGTHEMWILLBEHIGHANDTELLPOLITICIANSTHATTHEYWILLGOOUTOFBUSI NESSIFTHECONTROLSAREIMPLEMENTED &ORTHEINDIVIDUALPRICE TAKINGPRODUCERWHOSEACTIVITYHASNOIMPACTONTHE

OVERALLMARKETTHISWOULDINDEEDBETHECASE7HENALLlRMSAREREQUIREDTOMAKE THESAMEPOLLUTIONREDUCTIONSHOWEVERTHEYWILLINmUENCETHEMARKETANDPRICES WILLCHANGE3OMEENTERPRISESMAYSTILLGOOUTOFBUSINESSˆTHEONESWITHTHEHIGH ESTPOLLUTIONPREVENTIONCOSTSTHELOWESTMARGINSTOCOVERTHOSECOSTSORTHELEAST ABILITYTOPASSTHOSECOSTSONTOTHEIRCUSTOMERS4HEOVERALLPICTUREHOWEVERWILL BEBETTERTHANWHATITSEEMSTOBEWHENTHERESPONSESOFINDIVIDUALCOMPANIESARE SUMMED

4HE INABILITYOFMAINTENANCECOST TOCAPTURESTRUCTURALCHANGERESULTING FROM ENVIRONMENTALPOLICYCANBEADDRESSEDUSINGMODELSTHATANALYZEHOWCHANGESIN ENVIRONMENTALPOLICYWOULDACTUALLYAFFECTTHEECONOMY4HEAIMOFSUCHMODELS ISTODETERMINEHOWTHEECONOMYWOULDBESTRUCTUREDUNDERDIFFERENTHYPOTHETI CALASSUMPTIONSABOUTTHEENVIRONMENTALIMPACTOFPRODUCTIVEACTIVITYOROTHER ENVIRONMENTALPOLICYASSUMPTIONS-UCHGREENECONOMYMODELINGWORKHASBEEN DONETOESTIMATETHEECONOMICIMPLICATIONSOFDIFFERENTSTRATEGIESFORCOMPLYING WITHTHE+YOTO0ROTOCOL/THERWORKCOULDBEDONETOIDENTIFYTHEECONOMICIMPACT OFPOLICIESSUCHASACARBONTAXORHIGHERGASOLINETAXES 4WOANALYTICALAPPROACHESARETAKENTOBUILDTHESEMODELS/NEDISCUSSEDIN

#HAPTERSANDUSESINPUTnOUTPUTANALYSIS4HEOTHERINVOLVESBUILDINGGENERAL EQUILIBRIUMMODELSOFTHENATIONALECONOMY3UCHMODELSEMBODYASETOFINTER RELATEDPRODUCTIONFUNCTIONSFORECONOMICSECTORSWHICHPREDICTTHEOUTPUTOF EACHSECTORASAFUNCTIONOFASETOFINPUTVARIABLESINCLUDINGPRICESTAXESAVAIL ABILITYOFSPECIlCNATURALRESOURCESPRODUCTIONTECHNOLOGYLEVELOFDEMANDAND SOON'ENERALEQUILIBRIUMMODELSUSUALLYAREBUILTBYINSTITUTIONSSUCHASGOV ERNMENTAGENCIESUNIVERSITIESORCONSULTINGlRMSWHICHUSETHEMOVERALONG TIMEPERIODTOANALYZEANARRAYOFPOLICYORECONOMICQUESTIONSFACINGTHENATION 5SINGTHEMODELINVOLVESSPECIFYINGSOMEEXOGENOUSCHANGEORCONSTRAINTSUCH ASANINCREASEINWORLDOILPRICESADROPINDEMANDFROMAMAJOREXPORTMARKET ORANATIONALDECISIONTOCOMPLYWITHINTERNATIONALSTANDARDSSUCHASTHOSEOFTHE +YOTO0ROTOCOL4HEEXOGENOUSCHANGEISPUTINTOTHEMODELASAlXEDCONSTRAINT ANDTHEEQUATIONSINTHEMODELAREUSEDTOCALCULATETHEIMPACTONOTHERVALUESFOR EACHSECTOROFTHEECONOMYOUTPUTPRICESCONSUMPTIONOFINPUTSTAXESPAIDAND SOON4HISALSOMAKESITPOSSIBLETOESTIMATEWHAT'$0EMPLOYMENTSAVINGRATES ANDOTHERMACROECONOMICVARIABLESWOULDBEUNDERTHEHYPOTHETICALSCENARIO !SSUMINGTHATTHEMODELISREASONABLYACCURATEANDTHATTHECHANGESINBEHAVIOR ARENOTSOGREATASTOREQUIREACHANGEINTHESTRUCTUREOFTHEMODELTHISPROVIDES AMOREREALISTICESTIMATEOFTHEECONOMICIMPACTSOFINCREASEDPOLLUTIONCONTROL

ACCOUNTTHEINTERPLAYAMONGSECTORS 5SING INPUTnOUTPUTOR GENERAL EQUILIBRIUMMODELS THEOVERALL COST OF THE

EXOGENOUSCHANGEISCALCULATEDASTHEDIFFERENCEBETWEEN'$0ASPROJECTEDBY THEMODELANDWHAT'$0ISPROJECTEDTOBEINTHESAMEYEARIFEXISTINGECONOMIC TRENDSCONTINUEDINTOTHEFUTUREWITHNOEXOGENOUSCHANGE4HISSINGLEVALUEFOR THECOSTOFTHECHANGEISOFTENAKEYPIECEOFINFORMATIONINPOLITICALDEBATE&OR POLICYPURPOSESHOWEVERTHEUNDERLYINGDATAABOUTHOWTHECHANGEWILLAFFECT OUTPUTANDEMPLOYMENTINSPECIlCSECTORSISLIKELYTOBEMOREUSEFUL&OREXAMPLE IFTHEGOVERNMENTISUSINGTHEMODELTOTESTSEVERALDIFFERENTSTRATEGIESFORBRINGING THEECONOMYINTOCOMPLIANCEWITHITSTARGETUNDERTHE+YOTO0ROTOCOLITISLIKELY TOBEINTERESTEDINMUCHMOREDETAILTHANSIMPLYTHESTRATEGYTHATWILLMAXIMIZE '$04HEIMPACTSONOUTPUTANDEMPLOYMENTINSPECIlCINDUSTRIESANDREGIONS WILLBEIMPORTANTASTHEGOVERNMENTBALANCESARANGEOFPOLICYAIMSINDECIDING HOWTOMEETITSTARGETS&OREXAMPLEOFTENASTRATEGYTHATCOSTSMOREBUTSAVESJOBS MAYBECONSIDEREDBETTERTHANONETHATISLESSCOSTLYIN'$0TERMSBUTPUTSMANY PEOPLEOUTOFWORK %CONOMICMODELSOFTHISTYPEDEPENDHEAVILYONBOTHTHEECONOMICANDTHE

ENVIRONMENTALDATAINTHEACCOUNTS4HEYARENOTACTUALLYAPARTOFTHEACCOUNTS THEMSELVESHOWEVERASTHEYTELLUSWHATWOULDHAPPENUNDERALTERNATEPOLICY SCENARIOSNOTWHATISHAPPENINGNOW)NSOMECOUNTRIESTHEINSTITUTIONSBUILDING THEMODELSWORKCLOSELYWITHTHENATIONALINCOMEACCOUNTANTSTOENSURETHATTHE TWOEFFORTSARECOMPATIBLEWITHEACHOTHERANDTHEDATAWILLBEAVAILABLETORUNTHE MODELS /NEUSEFUL EXAMPLEOF THIS KINDOFWORK IS A COLLABORATIONBY THE'ERMAN

NATIONALSTATISTICALAGENCYWITHTHE5NIVERSITYOF/SNABRÓCKONTHEDEVELOPMENTOF ADYNAMICINPUTnOUTPUTMODELUSEDTOANALYZETHECOSTSANDEFFECTIVENESSOFALTER NATESTRATEGIESTOREDUCECARBONEMISSIONS-EYER $YNAMICINPUTnOUTPUT MODELSBUILDONTHE) /FRAMEWORKDISCUSSEDINEARLIERCHAPTERSBYINCLUDINGCAPI TALINVESTMENTASASEPARATELINEINTHEMATRIX"ECAUSEPRODUCTIONINEACHYEARWILL BEINPARTAFUNCTIONOFINVESTMENTINTHEPREVIOUSYEARTHISMAKESITPOSSIBLETO PREDICTTRENDSINTHEECONOMYOVERTIME)NCONTRASTTHEANALYSESINPREVIOUSCHAP TERSARETERMEDCOMPARATIVESTATICSBECAUSETHEYINVOLVECOMPARINGTHEECONOMY ATONEPOINTINTIMEWITHASPECIlEDCHANGEINTHESAMEYEARWITHOUTLOOKINGAT THEPATHBYWHICHTHEECONOMYGETSTOTHENEWEQUILIBRIUM 4HE'ERMANMODELWHICHISCALLED0!.4!2(%)A'REEKTERMMEANINGhALL

THINGSmOWv ISANECOLOGICALEXTENSIONOFA SECTORMODELKNOWNAS).&/2'% 0!.4!2(%)CONSIDERSDIFFERENTENERGYINPUTSTOTHEECONOMYANDTHE#/OUT PUTSFROMEACHSECTORSUSEOFEACHENERGYTYPE)NADDITIONTHE).&/2'%BASE MODELISCONNECTEDTOTHEINPUTnOUTPUTTABLESOFOTHERCOUNTRIESWHICHMEANS THATITISPOSSIBLETOFACTORINSOMEFOREIGNTRADEINFORMATIONQUITEACCURATELY#ON SUMERDEMANDISALLOCATEDAMONGEXPENDITUREGROUPSWHICHARETHENLINKED TOTHEINDUSTRIESUSINGDATAABOUTTHEPRODUCTBREAKDOWNOFEACHINDUSTRYS OUTPUT /NEUSEOFTHE0!.4!2(%)MODELISTOANALYZETHEINTRODUCTIONOFMARKETABLE

GREENHOUSEGASEMISSIONSPERMITS-EYERAND%WERHART !MARKETABLEPER MITSYSTEMlXESATOTALLEVELOFEMISSIONSANDREQUIRESlRMSTOPURCHASEPERMITS INORDERTOEMITPOLLUTANTS)NTHISAPPLICATIONOFTHEMODELTHENUMBEROFPERMITS

4HEMODELSIMULATESTHEIMPACTSOFREDUCING'ERMANEMISSIONSBY ANDRELATIVETOLEVELSTHEGOVERNMENTSACTUALTARGETISA REDUCTION4HEGOVERNMENTISASSUMEDTOUSETHEREVENUEFROMTHESALEOFEMIS SIONSPERMITSTOOFFSETTHEEMPLOYERCONTRIBUTIONSTOSOCIALSECURITYEFFECTIVELY LOWERINGTHEPRICEOFLABORTOINDUSTRYWITHOUTDECREASINGWAGESPAIDTOEMPLOY EES4HEECONOMYSTRENDSUNDERTHEFOURSCENARIOSARECOMPAREDWITHASTATUS QUOTRENDTHATASSUMESAVERAGE'$0GROWTHOFPERYEARANDSTABLEPATTERNS OFGOVERNMENTCONSUMPTIONANDTAXPOLICYWITHNOEFFORTTOREDUCEGREENHOUSE GASEMISSIONS 4HESIMULATIONSESTIMATETHECOSTOFREDUCINGPOLLUTIONINTERMSOFTHEIMPACT

ON'$0OFTHEDIFFERENTREDUCTIONSCENARIOS)NTHECASEOFAREDUCTIONINEMIS SIONS'$0ISLOWERTHANINTHESTATUSQUOTRENDWHICHISCONSIDEREDTOBE RELATIVELYLOW4HEUSEOFPERMITREVENUETOREDUCELABORCOSTSTOEMPLOYERSMEANS THATALTHOUGHOUTPUTDROPSEMPLOYMENTDOESNOTDROPASMUCHASWOULDOTHER WISEBEEXPECTED)TISTHEMAINTENANCEOFEMPLOYMENTTHATKEEPSINCOMEFROM DROPPINGMORE0RODUCTIONBECOMESMORELABOR INTENSIVESOCONSUMERSCONTINUE TOEARNANDSPENDMONEYBUFFERINGTHENATIONALECONOMYAGAINSTTHEDECREASES THATCOULDRESULTFROMTHEEMISSIONSREDUCTIONS 4HEMODELALSOWASUSEDTOESTIMATETHEIMPACTSOFAPROPOSED#/EMISSIONS

TAXTHATWASTOBEGINATDEUTSCHEMARKS$- PERMETRICTON-4 INAND WASTORISETO$-PER-4IN4HEMODELPROJECTEDPOLLUTANTEMISSIONS '$0INmATIONUNEMPLOYMENTANDSEVERALOTHERMACROECONOMICINDICATORSUNDER SEVERALDIFFERENTSCENARIOSFORUSEOFTHETAXREVENUEREDUCINGTHENATIONALDEBT REDUCINGTHEEMPLOYERCONTRIBUTIONTOSOCIALSECURITYREDUCINGEMPLOYEECONTRI BUTIONTOSOCIALSECURITYANDACOMBINATIONSCENARIO4HEECONOMICCOSTOFTHE POLLUTIONREDUCTIONWASMEASUREDASTHEDIFFERENCEBETWEEN'$0INUNDERA hBUSINESSASUSUALvSCENARIOAND'$0INUNDEREACHOFTHEDIFFERENTTAX USE SCENARIOS!LLOFTHESCENARIOSLEDTOSIMILAREMISSIONSREDUCTIONSBUTASINTHEMAR KETABLEPERMITCASETHEDECISIONABOUTHOWTOUSETHEREVENUESHADMAJORIMPLI CATIONSFORTHEECONOMICIMPACTOFPOLLUTIONCONTROL4HELOWESTIMPACTON'$0 OCCURREDWHENALLOFTHETAXREVENUEWASUSEDTOREDUCETHEEMPLOYERCONTRIBUTION TOSOCIALSECURITY4HISSCENARIOALSODECREASEDPROJECTEDUNEMPLOYMENTFROM TOWHEREASALLOFTHEOTHERSCENARIOSLEDTOINCREASEDUNEMPLOYMENT !STHISEXAMPLESUGGESTSMODELSOFTHISTYPEGOFARBEYONDSIMPLYESTIMATINGA

SINGLElGUREFORTHECOSTOFPREVENTINGFURTHERPOLLUTION4HEYCANBEUSEDTOlNE TUNEASTRATEGYFORREDUCINGPOLLUTIONBYALLOWINGCOMPARISONSAMONGANARRAYOF DIFFERENTPOLICYOPTIONS4HEYSHOWTRADE OFFSAMONGMACROECONOMICPOLICYTAR GETSSUCHAS'$0EMPLOYMENTANDINmATION4HEYALSOCANSHOWTHEIMPACTSON EACHSECTOROFTHEECONOMYSEPARATELYSOSPECIlCSECTORALOBJECTIVESCANBEFAC TOREDINTOTHEPOLICYCHOICE

0OLLUTIONIMPOSESANARRAYOFCOSTSONSOCIETYTHATAREQUITEDISTINCTFROMTHECOSTS IMPOSEDBYPREVENTINGIT%STIMATINGTHEECONOMICVALUEOFTHESECOSTSHASFALLEN LARGELYWITHINTHEREALMOFECONOMICSANDONLYTOAMUCHLESSEREXTENTWITHINTHE

REALMOFENVIRONMENTALACCOUNTING4HEYMAYBEROUGHLYDIVIDEDINTOFOURCATEGO RIESWHICHAREUSEFULFORPLACINGTHEMWITHINTHEACCOUNTINGFRAMEWORKASSHOWN IN4ABLE 4HECOSTSINEACHOFTHEFOURCELLSOFTHETABLEAREHANDLEDSOMEWHATDIFFERENTLY

#URRENTOPERATINGCOSTSTHEUPPERLEFTCELLAREALREADYINCLUDEDINTHEACCOUNTS BUTTHEYARENOTDIRECTLYIDENTIlABLE4HESEWEREDISCUSSEDIN#HAPTERANDWERE TERMEDhCOSTSBORNEvORhREPERCUSSIONCOSTSvINTHE3%%!#URRENTOPERATING COSTSINCLUDETHEEXPENDITURESPEOPLEAREFORCEDTOMAKEBECAUSEOFPOLLUTION EITHERTOBUFFERTHEMSELVESAGAINSTITORTOCOMPENSATEFORTHEHARMITCAUSESAS WELLASDECLINESINOUTPUTASARESULTOFPOLLUTIONSUCHASREDUCEDFORESTYIELDSDUE TOACIDRAIN4OTHEEXTENTTHAThNATURALvDISASTERSAREACTUALLYTHERESULTOFHUMAN ACTIVITYSUCHASLANDSLIDESASARESULTOFDEFORESTATIONORmOODINGBECAUSEOFEXCESS IMPERVIOUSSURFACEINTHEWATERSHEDTHERESULTINGINCOMELOSSESALSOFALLINTOTHIS CATEGORY4HECHALLENGEHEREISTOIDENTIFYANDQUANTIFYTHEMSOTHATTHEYCANBE DISTINGUISHEDWITHINTHEDATAPRESENTEDINTHEACCOUNTS 4HELOSSESOFENVIRONMENTALFUNCTIONSSHOWNINTHEUPPERRIGHTCELLARENOT

CAPTUREDINTHEACCOUNTSBECAUSETHEYARENOTPRODUCTSINCLUDEDINTHEACCOUNTS TOBEGINWITH.ATIONALACCOUNTSANDBYEXTENSIONTHEENVIRONMENTALACCOUNTS INCLUDEONLYPRODUCTS THATAREMARKETED WITH TWONOTABLEEXCEPTIONSGOODS GROWNGATHEREDORMADE FORONESOWNCONSUMPTIONAND THE RENTAL VALUEOF OWNER OCCUPIEDHOUSING 4HEREFORETHEVALUEOFENVIRONMENTALFUNCTIONSORBEN ElTSTHATWEDONOTPAYFORˆTHERIVERSTOCANOEONWILDmOWERSTOADMIREINTHE MEADOWSORCLEANAIRTOBREATHEˆARENOTINCLUDEDINTHEACCOUNTSORINTHECAL CULATIONOF'$0)FWELOSESOMEOFTHOSEPRODUCTSNEXTYEARBECAUSEOFPOLLUTION ITWOULDBEINCONSISTENTTODEDUCTTHELOSSFROMNEXTYEARSACCOUNTSBECAUSETHE GOODSTHEMSELVESWERENOTINCLUDEDTHISYEAR4HEVALUESOFTHEPRODUCTSANDTHEIR LOSSESCANBEESTIMATEDANDSOMETIMESAREFORTHEPURPOSEOFCOSTnBENElTANALY SISBUTTHATWILLOCCUROUTSIDETHEACCOUNTINGFRAMEWORK 3OMEOFTHEDEGRADATIONOFCAPITALASARESULTOFPOLLUTIONSHOWNINTHELOWER

LEFTCELLISCAPTUREDBYTHE3.!ASSETACCOUNTS!SDEMONSTRATEDIN#HAPTERSAND THE3.!ASSETACCOUNTSRECORDALLCHANGESINVALUEOFECONOMICASSETSBUTTRANS FERONLYTHOSECHANGESDUETOECONOMICUSEOFTHEASSETTOTHEmOWACCOUNTS4HE REVISED3%%!ACCOUNTSFORABROADERSETOFASSETSINCLUDINGSOMENATURALASSETSTHAT ARENOTINTHE3.!/NCETHEYHAVEBEENBUILTINTOTHEENVIRONMENTALACCOUNTS

#OSTS)MPOSEDBY 0OLLUTION

ACCOUNTS4HESAMERULESWILLSTILLAPPLYTOTRANSFERRINGCHANGESINASSETVALUEFROM ASSETTOmOWACCOUNTSHOWEVERTHOSECHANGESDUETOECONOMICUSEOFTHEASSET WILLBETRANSFERREDBUTOTHERCHANGESWILLNOT 4HEDEGRADATIONOFNATURALCAPITALINTHELOWERRIGHTCELLISNOTCAPTUREDINTHE

3.!ANDONLYSOMEOFITISINCLUDEDINTHE3%%!!S#HAPTERSANDALSOSHOWED THE3.!INCLUDESONLYTHOSECAPITALASSETSTHATAREOWNEDANDGENERATEECONOMIC BENElTFORTHEOWNERSWHEREASTHE3%%!ALSOINCLUDESASSETSTHATARENOTOWNEDBUT THATPROVIDEECONOMICBENElTTOTHEIRUSERS%ACHSYSTEMWILLCAPTURETHEDEGRADA TIONOFTHEASSETSTHATITINCLUDES3UCHASSETSASTHEATMOSPHEREALAKEORAPRISTINE VISTAHOWEVERARECONSIDEREDONLYINTERMSOFTHEmOWSOFSERVICESTHEYPROVIDEAND NOEFFORTISMADETOGRAPPLEWITHHOWTHEYCOULDBEVALUEDASASSETSINTHEMSELVES 4HUSONLYSOMEOFTHEDAMAGESCAUSEDBYPOLLUTIONARECAPTUREDWITHINEITHER

THE3.!ORTHE3%%!&ORTHEDAMAGESTHATARECAPTUREDITCANBETRICKYTOIDENTIFY ANDVALUETHEMSOTHATTHEYCANBEDISAGGREGATEDFROMOTHERDATA4HEMETHODSFOR VALUINGENVIRONMENTALDAMAGEANDITSCONVERSETHEVALUEOFNONMARKETEDPROD UCTSPROVIDEDBYTHEENVIRONMENTIFITISNOTDAMAGED HAVEBEENTHESUBJECTOF RESEARCHINECONOMICSFORDECADES.OONEMETHODISSUITEDTOALLSERVICESMEETS ALLTHEORETICALCRITERIAORCANALWAYSBEAPPLIEDWITHREADILYAVAILABLEDATA2ATHER ITISNECESSARYTOCHOOSEAMONGMETHODSFOREACHSERVICEBASEDONWHATISAPPRO PRIATEANDFEASIBLE

7HETHERORNOTTHEYARECAPTUREDINTHEACCOUNTSTHECOSTSIMPOSEDBYPOLLU TIONAREAMATTEROFCONSIDERABLEINTERESTESPECIALLYTOTHOSEWHOMUSTBEARTHEM &ORTHATREASONMUCHWORKHASGONEINTOTHEDEVELOPMENTOFMETHODSTOASSIGN MONETARYVALUESTOTHOSECOSTS4HECHOICEOFVALUATIONMETHODISNOTRELATEDTO WHEREIN4ABLE THEEXPENDITUREFALLS2ATHERTHEMETHODCHOSENDEPENDSON THENATUREOFTHEPRODUCTORDAMAGETHEDATAAVAILABLETHELEVELOFEFFORTPUTINTO THEANALYSISTHEAVAILABILITYOFCOMPARABLEESTIMATESFOROTHERRESOURCESTHATMAY BEhBORROWEDvANDSOON 4HEVALUEOFANONMARKETEDPRODUCTCOULDBEINTERPRETEDINTWOWAYS/NEUSES

THEECONOMICCONCEPTSOFWILLINGNESSTOPAYANDWILLINGNESSTOACCEPT&ORANYGOOD THATYOUCONSIDERPURCHASINGTHEREISSOMEPRICEATWHICHYOUAREWILLINGTOBUYIT THATISYOURWILLINGNESSTOPAYOFTENABBREVIATED740 FORTHEITEM)FITCOSTSMORE THANTHATYOUDECIDEAGAINSTTHEPURCHASE)FITCOSTSLESSYOUBUYITANDFEELTHAT YOUVEGOTTENABARGAINBECAUSEYOUWOULDHAVEBEENWILLINGTOPAYMORETHANTHE PRICEYOUACTUALLYPAID7ILLINGNESSTOACCEPTOR74! ISINASENSETHEOPPOSITEOF 740&ORAPRODUCTTHATYOUALREADYHAVEˆPERHAPSEVENANICEVIEWOUTSIDEYOUR WINDOWˆITASKSHOWMUCHYOUWOULDBEWILLINGTOACCEPTTOLOSETHATPRODUCT -ANYVALUATIONMETHODSATTEMPTTOESTIMATEWHATPEOPLESWILLINGNESSTOPAYFOR ENVIRONMENTALPRODUCTSWOULDBEIFTHEYACTUALLYHADTOPAYFORTHEM3OMEMETH ODSESTIMATEWILLINGNESSTOACCEPTCOMPENSATIONFORTHELOSSOFTHOSEENVIRONMEN TALPRODUCTS )TSHOULDBECLEARFROMTHEPREVIOUSPARAGRAPHTHAT740ISNOTTHESAMEASWHAT

THEPRICEOFTHEGOODINQUESTIONWOULDBEIFITWEREACTUALLYSOLDONTHEMARKET

PLEWHOSE740FORAGIVENGOODWILLBEHIGHERTHANTHEPRICEWHOTHUSWILLBUYIT ANDOTHERSWHOSE740ISLOWERTHANTHEPRICEWHOWILLNOTBUYIT4HEDIFFERENCE BETWEEN740ANDPRICEISTERMEDCONSUMERSURPLUS 4HENATIONALACCOUNTSMEA SURETHEVALUEOFPRODUCTSINTERMSOFTHEIRPRICESNOT740OR74!4HUSINORDER TOINTEGRATEVALUESOFNONMARKETEDPRODUCTSWITHTHOSEOFMARKETEDPRODUCTSESTI MATESOFPRICERATHERTHAN740ARENECESSARY4HISMAYBEEVENMOREDIFlCULTTO ESTIMATETHAN740HOWEVER !VARIETYOFAPPROACHESAREUSEDTODEVELOPESTIMATESFORTHEVALUEOFNONMAR

KETEDPRODUCTSANDENVIRONMENTALDAMAGES4HEYARETYPICALLYDIVIDEDINTOTWO GROUPSTHOSETHATDEPENDONMARKETDATAANDTHOSETHATDEPENDONSURVEYS4HESE TWOGROUPSOFMETHODSAREDISCUSSEDBELOW

/NESETOFVALUATIONTECHNIQUESDEPENDSONUSINGMARKETDATAONTHEPRICEOF CONVENTIONALPRODUCTSTOESTIMATETHEVALUEOFENVIRONMENTALFUNCTIONSTHATARE NOTBOUGHTANDSOLDINMARKETS4HESETECHNIQUESINCLUDEDOSEnRESPONSEANALY SISCONSIDERATIONOFDEFENSIVEEXPENDITURESANDSUBSTITUTEGOODSTRAVELDEMAND ANALYSISANDHEDONICPRICING

$OSEn2ESPONSE4HEDOSEnRESPONSEMETHODBORROWEDFROMMEDICALANALYSES OF THEHEALTH IMPACTOF INCREASING LEVELSOFMEDICINEMEASURESTHE IMPACTON ECONOMICOUTPUTOREXPENDITUREOFINCREASINGENVIRONMENTALDEGRADATION4HIS METHODISTYPICALLYUSEDTOESTIMATETHEIMPACTONAGRICULTURALORFORESTOUTPUT OFINCREASEDPOLLUTIONSOILEROSIONOROTHERINCREMENTALENVIRONMENTALDAMAGE 4HESECOSTSMAYALSOBEINTERPRETEDASANESTIMATEOFTHEMAXIMUMTHATFARMERS WOULDBEWILLINGTOPAYTOPREVENTTHEPOLLUTIONBECAUSEPREVENTINGPOLLUTION WOULDNOTBEWORTHITIFITCOSTMORETHANTHERESULTINGINCREASEINOUTPUT

$EFENSIVE%XPENDITURES$EFENSIVEEXPENDITURESARETHOSEMADETOPROTECTAGAINST THEIMPACTSOFENVIRONMENTALDEGRADATIONSUCHASTHECOSTSTOAHOUSEHOLDOF BOILINGANDlLTERINGDRINKINGWATER4HESEEXPENDITURESMAYBEUNDERSTOODASA LOWERBOUNDORMINIMUMESTIMATE ONTHECOSTSIMPOSEDBYPOLLUTIONANDTHUS THEWILLINGNESSTOPAYTOPREVENTIT

3UBSTITUTE'OODS)NSOMECASESAPRIVATEMARKETEXISTSFORGOODSTHATAREALSO AVAILABLE FOR FREE FROM THENATURAL ENVIRONMENT&OREXAMPLE INMANYAREAS PEOPLECANEITHERUSETHEIRTIMETOGATHERFUELWOODFOODANDMEDICINALPLANTSOR USETHEIRMONEYTOPURCHASETHESAMEPRODUCTSINLOCALMARKETS4HEPRICEINTHE LOCALMARKETISTHENUSEDTOESTIMATETHEVALUEOFTHEGATHEREDRESOURCE 4HEPRICEOFSUBSTITUTEGOODSCANBEINTERPRETEDINSEVERALWAYS)TISCLEARLY

HIGHERTHANSOMEPEOPLESWILLINGNESSTOPAYASTHEYCHOOSETOGATHERTHEPROD UCTSINSTEADOFPURCHASINGTHEM+NOWINGTHEPRICEDOESNOTTELLUSWHATTHEIR740 WOULDACTUALLYBEORWHATTHEIRNEGATIVE CONSUMERSURPLUSWOULDBEIFTHEYHAD TOPURCHASETHEITEMINSTEADOFGATHERINGIT4HEPRICEMAYHOWEVERBETREATEDAS ANUPPERBOUNDMAXIMUM ESTIMATEOFWHATTHAT740MIGHTBE

PRODUCINGMUCHOFTHEFOODANDMATERIALSTHATTHEYNEEDTOSURVIVE4YPICALLYTHEY HAVELITTLEMONEYWITHWHICHTOBUYGOODS0RESUMABLYTHEINDIVIDUALSWITHLESS MONETARYINCOMEWILLBETHEONESWHOCHOOSETOGATHERTHEGOODSWHILETHOSE WITHAWAYTOEARNMOREMONEYWILLALLOCATETHEIRTIMETOPAIDLABORANDBUYTHEIR GOODS)NLIGHTOFTHATTHEMARKETPRICEOFTHEGOODSISSOMETIMESCOMBINEDWITH THETIMEREQUIREDTOGATHERAKNOWNQUANTITYTOESTIMATETHEVALUEOFUNPAID LABOREXPENDEDBYTHEGATHERERS4HUSINSTEADOFUSINGTHEMARKETPRICETOIMPUTE ORESTIMATE APRICEFORGATHEREDPRODUCTSTHEMARKETPRICEISUSEDTOIMPUTEA PRICEFORUNPAIDHOUSEHOLDLABOR4HATVALUEOFLABORMAYTHENBEUSEDTOCALCULATE THEVALUEOFOTHERUNPAIDSERVICESCARRIEDOUTWITHINTHEHOUSEHOLDSUCHASCHILD CARECOOKINGORMINDINGANIMALS

4RAVEL$EMAND4HETRAVELDEMANDMETHODHASBEENDEVELOPEDASAWAYTOESTI MATEWILLINGNESSTOPAYFORRECREATIONALAMENITIESPROVIDEDBYTHEENVIRONMENT)T INVOLVESUSINGDATAONDISTANCESTRAVELEDANDEXPENDITURESFORTRAVELANDENTRANCE FEESTOESTIMATEADEMANDCURVEFORASPECIFICNATIONALPARKOROTHERTOURISTDES TINATION&ROMTHEDEMANDCURVETHEANALYSTCANESTIMATETHEACTUALWILLINGNESS TOPAYFORTHERECREATIONEXPERIENCEATTHESITE)FVISITSTOTHESITEDROPPEDOFFASA RESULTOFENVIRONMENTALDEGRADATIONTHEVALUESESTIMATEDUSINGTHETRAVELDEMAND METHODCOULDALSOBEUSEDTOCALCULATETHELOSS

(EDONIC0RICING(EDONICPRICINGTECHNIQUESUSEREGRESSIONANALYSISTODETERMINE THECONTRIBUTIONSOFDIFFERENTCHARACTERISTICSOFAGOODTOITSPRICE4HISTECHNIQUE HASBEENRElNEDINTHEANALYSISOFHOUSINGMARKETSBECAUSEOFTHEGENERALAVAIL ABILITYOFEXTENSIVEDATAANDCONSIDERABLEINTERESTINTHEDETERMINANTSOFHOME PRICES4HEPRICESOFPROPERTIESAREESTIMATEDASAFUNCTIONOFTHEIRFEATURESNUM BEROFBEDROOMSmOORAREANUMBEROFBATHROOMSWHETHERTHEYHAVESUCHITEMS ASAGARAGEORFIREPLACE LOTSIZENEIGHBORHOODCHARACTERISTICSANDSOON4HIS METHODCANBEUSEDTODETERMINETHECONTRIBUTIONOFACLEANORQUIETENVIRONMENT TOTHEVALUEOFAHOMEBYINCLUDINGMEASURESOFTHOSEFEATURESINTHEANALYSIS)T CANALSOBEUSEDTOIDENTIFYTHEWAGEPREMIUMPAIDTOEMPLOYEESTOINDUCETHEM TOACCEPTEXPOSURETOADANGEROUSORPOLLUTEDWORKENVIRONMENT5NLIKETHEOTHER METHODSHEDONICPRICEANALYSESESTIMATETHEACTUALPRICEOFTHEPRODUCTRATHER THANWILLINGNESSTOPAY

3URVEY "ASED6ALUATION-ETHODS !NOTHERSETOFVALUATIONTECHNIQUESINVOLVESASKINGDIRECTQUESTIONSABOUTPREFER ENCESANDWILLINGNESSTOPAYFORENVIRONMENTALGOODSANDSERVICES4HESETECH NIQUESAREGENERALLYREFERREDTOASCONTINGENTVALUATIONMETHODS)NTERVIEWEES ANSWERQUESTIONSDESIGNEDTODETERMINETHEMAXIMUMTHEYWOULDBEWILLINGTO PAYFORSOMEENVIRONMENTAL FUNCTIONESTIMATEOF740 ORTHEMINIMUMTHEY WOULDACCEPTASCOMPENSATIONFORTHELOSSOFSUCHAFUNCTIONESTIMATEOF74! ! VARIANTONTHISAPPROACHASKSRESPONDENTSTORANKSETSOFALTERNATIVESRATHERTHAN DIRECTLYEXPRESSAWILLINGNESSTOPAYORTOACCEPTSPECIlCPRICES 4HEADVANTAGEOFCONTINGENTVALUATIONMETHODSISTHATTHEYPROVIDEINFORMA

TIONABOUTEXACTLYTHEQUESTIONOFINTERESTRATHERTHANDEPENDONPROXYMARKETS

BECAUSEINTERVIEWEESMAYSIMPLYHAVENOIDEAANDlNDTHESURVEYCONFUSINGOR MAYLIEINORDERTOINmUENCETHESTUDYRESULTS4HUSCONTINGENTVALUATIONMETHODS REMAINCONTROVERSIALASASOURCEOFINFORMATIONFORPOLICYDECISIONS-UCHRESEARCH ISUNDERWAYINTHElELDOFECONOMICSONTHEDESIGNOFDISTORTION FREECONTINGENT VALUATIONMETHODS

%NVIRONMENTAL ACCOUNTANTSWHOSEWORK IS ROOTED IN ECONOMICS RATHER THAN NATIONALINCOMEACCOUNTINGDONOTAGREEWITHTHE3%%!SEXCLUSIONOFENVIRONMEN TALFUNCTIONS4HE53!)$ FUNDED0HILIPPINE%NVIRONMENTAND.ATURAL2ESOURCES !CCOUNTING0ROJECT%.2!0 FOLLOWSSUCHANECONOMICAPPROACHANDINCLUDESSEV ERALDIFFERENTMEASURESRELATEDTOPOLLUTION/NEISTHEVALUEOFWASTEDISPOSALSER VICESPROVIDEDBYTHEENVIRONMENTTOTHEECONOMY"ECAUSETHESEAREVALUEDBASED ONWHATFIRMSWOULDHAVETOPAYTOPREVENTTHEPOLLUTIONTHATBEINGANUPPER BOUNDONWILLINGNESSTOPAYTOEMITPOLLUTANTSTHISISTHEEQUIVALENTOFMAINTE NANCECOSTINTHE3%%!4HE%.2!0ACCOUNTSALSOMEASURETHEDAMAGESCAUSED BYPOLLUTIONINCLUDINGHEALTHCOSTSFORGONEINCOMEASARESULTOFMORBIDITYAND MORTALITYDECREASEDlSHERYOUTPUTBECAUSEOFWATERPOLLUTIONREDUCEDRESERVOIR CAPACITYASARESULTOFSOILEROSIONANDREDUCEDRICEPADDIESASARESULTOFSEDIMEN TATION4HESERVICESPROVIDEDBYTHEENVIRONMENTVALUEDBASEDONWHATITWOULD COSTTOPREVENTTHEPOLLUTIONAREADDEDTOTHEMACROECONOMICINDICATORSINTHE ACCOUNTSTHEDAMAGESCAUSEDBYTHEUSEOFTHOSESERVICESˆPOLLUTIONDAMAGES THATISˆAREDEDUCTEDTOESTIMATEhGREEN'$0v%.2!0 4HE.ATIONAL!CADEMYOF3CIENCESPANELTHATDEVELOPEDRECOMMENDATIONSON

ENVIRONMENTALACCOUNTINGFORTHE5NITED3TATESTAKESASIMILARVIEW.ORDHAUS AND+OKKELENBERG )TRECOMMENDSTHATTHE5NITED3TATESCONSTRUCTACCOUNTS FORABROADRANGEOFNONMARKETEDGOODSANDSERVICESINCLUDINGTHOSEPROVIDEDBY THEENVIRONMENT4HISWOULDMAKEITPOSSIBLETOUSETHEACCOUNTSTOIDENTIFYTHE DECREASESINNONMARKETEDPRODUCTSASSOCIATEDWITHENVIRONMENTALDEGRADATIONAS WELLASTOTRACKTHEPRODUCTSTHEMSELVESWHENTHEENVIRONMENTISCLEAN4HEREPORT EXPLICITLYADDRESSESONLYAIRPOLLUTIONBUTITPOINTSOUTTHATTHEISSUESARESIMILAR FOROTHERTYPESOFPOLLUTION2ECOGNIZINGTHEDIFlCULTYOFVALUINGTHEHARMCAUSED BYEMISSIONSANDEVENMORESOOFVALUINGTHECLEANENVIRONMENTITCALLSFORMORE WORKONVALUATIONTECHNIQUES)TADMITSTHATTHISWILLBEEXTREMELYDIFlCULTFORSUCH ENVIRONMENTALPRODUCTSASBIODIVERSITY5NLIKETHE0HILIPPINEWORKTHE.ATIONAL !CADEMYSTUDYRECOMMENDSCALCULATIONOFRESOURCEDEPLETIONANDDEGRADATION BUTNOTGREEN'$0 4HE0HILIPPINEWORKAND THE.ATIONAL!CADEMY RECOMMENDATIONSARE THE

EXCEPTIONSINTHEIRAPPROACHTOPOLLUTIONDAMAGES%STIMATESOFALTERNATEMACRO ECONOMICMEASURESSUCHTHE)NDEXOF3USTAINABLE%CONOMIC7ELFARE$ALYAND #OBB HAVETAKENPOLLUTIONDAMAGESINTOACCOUNTBUTNOFULLACCOUNTING SYSTEMHASATTEMPTEDTOINCORPORATETHEMASIDEFROMTHE%.2!0PROJECT3OFAR THEREFORETHEAPPROACHTOPOLLUTIONOFTHENATIONALACCOUNTSRATHERTHANTHATOF ACADEMICECONOMICSHASDOMINATEDTHElELD

6ALUATION#OSTn"ENEFIT!NALYSISAND!CCOUNTING !DVOCATESOFENVIRONMENTALACCOUNTINGOFTENHOPETHATTHEACCOUNTSWILLINCLUDE ESTIMATES OF THE VALUE OF NONMARKETED ENVIRONMENTAL PRODUCTS OR THE COSTS IMPOSEDBYPOLLUTION4HEYWOULDLIKETOUSETHESEDATAINCOSTnBENElTANALYSES OFTHETRADE OFFSBETWEENTHEECONOMICANDENVIRONMENTALIMPACTSOFPROPOSED PROJECTS4HEYMIGHTALSOLIKETOUSEACCOUNTINGDATAINSO CALLEDSTRATEGICCOSTnBEN ElTANALYSISWHICHCONSIDERSECONOMICANDENVIRONMENTALTRADE OFFSENTAILEDIN MACROECONOMICPOLICYDECISIONSRATHERTHANININDIVIDUALPROJECTS #OSTnBENElTANALYSIS#"! ISANANALYTICALTOOLFOUNDEDONTHEIDEATHATPUBLIC

DECISIONSSHOULDBEBASEDONACOMPARISONOFTHEPOTENTIALADVANTAGESANDDISAD VANTAGESOFTHEPROPOSEDACTIONANDTHEACTIONSHOULDBEUNDERTAKENONLYIFTHE BENElTSEXCEEDTHECOSTS)TUSESMARKETCOSTSANDBENElTSTODETERMINEWHICHPROJ ECTSCONTRIBUTEMOSTTOTHEECONOMYINDEPENDENTOFWHOTHEBENElCIARIESARE 3OCIALCOSTnBENElTANALYSISBUILDSON#"!BYFACTORINGINSOCIALCONCERNSTHAT

GOBEYONDMARKETEDCOSTSANDBENElTS4HUSITMAYBEUSEDTOEVALUATEPROPOSED PROJECTSTHATINVOLVETRADE OFFSBETWEENECONOMICANDENVIRONMENTALOBJECTIVES USINGTHEVALUATIONMETHODSDISCUSSEDINTHEPREVIOUSSECTIONTOQUANTIFYTHEMON ETARYVALUEOFENVIRONMENTALFUNCTIONSORDAMAGE&OREXAMPLESOCIALCOSTnBENElT ANALYSISCOULDBEUSEDTOCOMPAREAPROPOSEDROADWITHAMASS TRANSITPROPOSAL TAKINGINTOCONSIDERATIONNOTONLYHOWMANYPEOPLEWILLBESERVEDFORHOWMUCH MONEYBUTALSOTHEIMPLICATIONSOFEACHAPPROACHFORAIRPOLLUTIONLANDUSERUN OFFANDBIODIVERSITY 4HECONCEPTOFSTRATEGICCOSTnBENElTANALYSISHASBEENDEVELOPEDTOENCOMPASS

MACROECONOMICANALYSISOFTHEIMPACTSOFNATIONALPOLICIESTHATWILLINVOLVETRADE OFFSBETWEENTHEECONOMYANDTHEENVIRONMENT4HISISSIMILARTOWHATWASDIS CUSSEDINTHESECTIONON-ODELINGTHE)MPACTSOF%NVIRONMENTAL0OLICYREGARDING MODELINGTHEECONOMYTOASSESSTHEECONOMICIMPACTSOFPROPOSEDENVIRONMENTAL POLICIESORTHEENVIRONMENTALIMPACTSOFPROPOSEDECONOMICPOLICIES &ORTHEMOSTPARTTHE3%%!ACCOUNTSWILLNOTCONTRIBUTEAGREATDEALTOCOSTn

BENElTANALYSIS!TTHEPROJECTLEVEL#"!ORSOCIAL#"! REQUIRESQUITEDETAILED INFORMATIONABOUTTHEPROPOSEDPROJECTTHESPECIlCCONTEXTANDTHEALTERNATIVES 4HEDATAINTHEACCOUNTSARENOTDETAILEDENOUGHTOBEUSEDFORTHISPURPOSE)F THEPROJECTDATAWEREAVAILABLEITMIGHTBEPOSSIBLETOUSETHEMTOESTIMATESOME ENTRIESINTHEACCOUNTSBUTDATAARENOTLIKELYTOmOWINTHEOTHERDIRECTION-ORE OVERASEXPLAINEDEARLIERINTHISCHAPTERTHE3%%!DOESNOTINCLUDEESTIMATESOF THEVALUEOFNONMARKETEDENVIRONMENTALPRODUCTSNORDOESITCAPTURETHELOSSOF THOSEPRODUCTSASARESULTOFPOLLUTIONOROTHERENVIRONMENTALHARM#ONSEQUENTLY THEACCOUNTSWILLNOTPROVIDETHEINFORMATIONNEEDEDTOCARRYOUTSOCIAL#"! 4HEACCOUNTSCANBESOMEWHATMOREUSEFULFORSTRATEGIC#"!3TRATEGIC#"!