ABSTRACT

In this final chapter I plan to pull together all the threads laid out in this book with the aid of my final case study. Again I focus on the Yom Kippur War. In this instance, the story is told by Frank Stech and the words are taken from a paper he wrote in 1979.1 This paper was chosen because it is one of the original studies to use Turner’s framework. I have to note that the aim of his work differs from mine. He states his purpose as being:

… to determine how intelligence specialists and policymakers estimate the intentions of a foreign nation … how they make mistakes in doing so (and) to compare the tasks and processes of intention estimation to research on related cognitive social, and organizational behavior.