ABSTRACT
I deeply regret that studies in methodology show no promise whatsoever of leading to this kind of knowledge [about international phenomena]. Studies of
methodology improve the probability of making something of a good idea. But nothing will replace the importance of creativity in discovering ideas that can be stated with rigor, care, and precision, and creativity in discovering those which can be stated in terms of a small number of variables and among which deductive interdependencies can be shown.56
