Subjective Marginal Probability Distributions for Potential Ozone Depleters

This section explains how subjective probability distribution for the production growth rates of the seven chemicals over the period 1985 to 2040 were chosen. It begins with a brief explanation of the methodology used to develop the distribution from information reported elsewhere (Hammitt et al., 1986; Quinn, et al., 1986), then summarizes the analysis for the periods 1985–2000 and 2000–2040.