ABSTRACT

The value of finished intelligence analysis is not measured solely by its accuracy, but rather by the value it has for decisionmakers. This value, however, can change depending on the information needs of the decisionmaker. Unfortunately, the intelligence community has – for the most part – failed to incorporate different perspectives and approaches into its standard operating procedures for the creation of intelligence analysis, limiting the potential contributions that intelligence analysis can make to decisionmaking. Improving both the art and the science of intelligence analysis would better meet decisionmaker needs for information and knowledge by providing them with analysis that is more rigorous, scenarios that are more imaginative, and improved insights of the adversary derived from empathy rather than intellect.