Modelling Transitions shows what computational, formal and data-driven approaches can and could mean for sustainability transitions research, presenting the state-of-the-art and exploring what lies beyond.

Featuring contributions from many well-known authors, this book presents the various benefits of modelling for transitions research. More than just taking stock, it also critically examines what modelling of transformative change means and could mean for transitions research and for other disciplines that study societal changes. This includes identifying a variety of approaches currently not part of the portfolios of transitions modellers. Far from only singing praise, critical methodological and philosophical introspection are key aspects of this important book.

This book speaks to modellers and non-modellers alike who value the development of robust knowledge on transitions to sustainability, including colleagues in congenial fields. Be they students, researchers or practitioners, everyone interested in transitions should find this book relevant as reference, resource and guide.

chapter 1|2 pages


The importance of transitions modelling
ByJan Rotmans

chapter 2|7 pages


ByEnayat A. Moallemi, Fjalar J. de Haan

chapter 3|18 pages

Transitions modelling

Status, challenges and strategies
ByJonathan Köhler, Georg Holtz

part 1|46 pages

Virtues and vices

chapter 4|29 pages

Making it a science

Aspirations and apprehensions of transitions research
ByFjalar J. de Haan

chapter 5|15 pages

Modelling and social science

Problems and promises
ByFederico Bianchi, Flaminio Squazzoni

part 2|87 pages

State of the art

chapter 6|25 pages

Modelling the multi-level perspective

The MATISSE agent-based model
ByJonathan Köhler

chapter 7|17 pages

Considering actor behaviour

Agent-based modelling of transitions
ByGeorg Holtz, Émile J. L. Chappin

chapter 8|20 pages

System dynamics methodology and research

Opportunities for transitions research
ByGeorge Papachristos, Jeroen Struben

chapter 9|23 pages

Socio-technical representation of electricity provision across scales

ByAngela Rojas, Fjalar J. de Haan

part 3|98 pages

The future of modelling transitions

chapter 10|17 pages

Models as scenario tools for developing robust transformative plans

ByShirin Malekpour

chapter 11|25 pages

Participatory modelling in sustainability transitions research

ByJohannes Halbe

chapter 12|21 pages

Data-driven transitions research

Methodological considerations for event-based analysis
ByFjalar J. de Haan, Alfonso Martínez Arranz, Wouter Spekkink

chapter 13|19 pages

Exploratory modelling of transitions

An emerging approach for coping with uncertainties in transitions research
ByEnayat A. Moallemi, Fjalar J. de Haan, Jonathan Köhler

chapter 14|14 pages


Quo vadis transitions modelling?
ByFjalar J. de Haan, Enayat A. Moallemi